Friday, March 09, 2012
The Empty Threats of Trademark Bullying
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
AT&T - T-Mobile Final Thoughts
I went on CNBC's Squawk Box Tuesday morning (sorry; no video link) to offer my thoughts on whether AT&T had made a bad bet. I'll repeat and expand what I said there: It was a risky bet - which is why TMO, advised by my former counsel at Wachtell, insisted on the mother of all break-up fees. But it was a bet worth taking.
The good news for AT&T is that they aren't chasing here. They can now turn to other options, whether it's acquiring DISH, buying spectrum or capacity from Clearwire, or doubling down on a wi-fi offload strategy. None are ideal, but they've got to play the cards they were dealt.
Another topic that came up in my interview yesterday was whether scuttling this deal was good for consumers. It's easy to see why it would be; TMO gets to keep playing to the low end, and there should be more price competition. But that's also a facile and short-sighted point of view.
This timely WSJ article today touches on, at a high level, some of the fundamental economic headwinds that face U.S. wireless carriers. It's a vast country, and providing the coverage, capacity and data speeds that consumers want is incredibly costly. Carriers spent $25 billion on their networks last year. Only AT&T and Verizon got a return on capital. Think about that, and what it means over time for consumers. We're paying for marginal price competition today with hobbled companies and under-investment tomorrow. A cash-losing Sprint or T-Mobile can't innovate, can't bridge the "last mile" or the "digital divide", and will ultimately fail - leaving the monopoly or duopoly DC is so fearful of - if they can't afford to invest capital in their network.
So no, the FCC and DOJ did consumers no favors long-term in preventing this deal. It's time they updated the tools in their "preserving competition" toolbox for the reality of today's wireless industry.
Monday, December 12, 2011
AT&T & T-Mobile Reaching the Final Act
The acquisition was a risky bet to begin with, but one takeaway for would-be acquirers must be this: If you're going to tout social benefits (in this case, the creation of 100,000 new jobs) in your lobbying efforts, be prepared to back up your claim with the solidest of solid analysis.
Because if you can't, then the rest of your arguments - and make no mistake, AT&T had several good ones re the benefits of this merger - are going to suffer badly by association. You'll have just handed those opposing your deal the club with which to smash your head in.
And today, AT&T has joined the DOJ in asking for a stay of the antitrust trial it had been so ardently pushing forward. This no doubt foretells the deal being scuttled or significantly re-arranged.
Here's one vote for the former - I'd much rather see AT&T in full-throated competition with Verizon than distracting itself trying to put together a less-than-optimal deal.
Friday, November 25, 2011
AT&T, T-Mobile & Opportunity Cost
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Bethesda vs. Minecraft
It's been a while since I've posted about trademark bullying, but Christ, it seems like it's everywhere. Proctor & Gamble is fighting with a Connecticut mom over the name she's chosen for her line of soap for tween girls ("Willa") because it sounds kinda like P&G's "Wella" brand. I've got some nimrod attorney demanding "one . . . MILLION . . . dollars" for using his name on our site (it's, uh, a legal directory. Of lawyers.).
But my new favorite for sheer cluelessness is Bethesda games going after Markus Persson, the creator of Minecraft. Bethesda worries that Persson's new game, Scrolls, might be confused with Bethesda's "Elder Scrolls" line of games. Never mind that no one would ever confuse one of Bethesda's games for one of Persson's. Or that the "Elder Scrolls" is a simply a postscript to the title of each Bethesda game.
What's really appalling here is how Bethesda is letting its lawyers crush them.
Despite possessing god-awful graphics, Minecraft is popular beyond belief. Offering up an open world with no structured gameplay, it provides a level of depth and creativity not found in any other game. Millions and millions and millions of people have flocked to it. My son and his friends are obsessed with it.
By going after Persson (who goes by "Notch"), Bethesda has aligned itself against all of these millions of ardent fans. It doesn't matter if they win the court battle and get Notch to change the name of the game; they've already lost the PR battle.
And of course, they didn't need to do this. Their lawyers may have told them that they need to "defend their intellectual property." That's bunk. Walking through all of the options and the PR implications of taking this action - particularly against a small or well-loved business - has got to factor into the equation.
I was talking to a video game journalist (!!) a few weeks back who told me that many of the gaming companies are known for being ineptly run. One sure-fire way to be run ineptly is to listen too uncritically to your lawyers. We'll see how much it costs Bethesda to learn that lesson.
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Reverse Synergies
Lots of people love Woot; the attitude is fun and refreshing, and they DO have plenty of great deals. It’s not hard to see why Amazon saw an attractive acquisition opportunity.
One wonders, though, if the synergies analysis for the Woot acquisition included the impact on Amazon of having to remit sales tax in Texas (Woot is based in Austin). Because Texas just submitted a bill for $269 million. That’s a heckuva lot more than what Amazon reportedly paid for Woot.
In fairness, this is the culmination of a long-running dispute between Amazon and Texas over sales taxes. But owning Woot sure isn’t going to help Amazon’s argument that it’s not responsible for remitting Texas sales tax.
Whoops.
Friday, August 13, 2010
Vote on Oracle's Next Meal
Stephen Jannise, an ERP software analyst who follows Oracle, has taken a stab at answering that question, and invites your vote on who Oracle is likely to next set its hooded gaze upon.
Thursday, September 10, 2009
Pfizer and "Compliance"
Under this agreement, Pfizer's "chief compliance officer" must report to the CEO, not the GC. Now, given Pfizer's record, perhaps that's not such a bad idea; obviously, this is an organization that needs some additional focus on compliance. However, check out this quote from Lewis Morris, chief counsel for the inspector general's office:
"The lawyers tell you whether you can do something, and compliance tells you whether you should. We think upper management should hear both arguments."
Pfizer's issues aside, this is an awfully narrow view of how in-house counsel should behave. Good business counsel should be able to give risk-adjusted advice - that is, both what you can do and whether you should do it.
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Ebay - Skype - Final Chapter
Today, Ebay announced the divestiture of a controlling interest in Skype in a deal that values the company at $2.75B. While the deal not working out is hardly shocking, it is somewhat surprising that Ebay was able to recover as much as it did, selling 65% of Skype for $1.9B in cash (of course, you can be sure that the private equity investors conditioned the deal on a long-term commercial relationship between Skype and Ebay; that deal may well include revenue commitments).
In any event, it's always good to see a little dealmaking discipline - even when it's cleaning up the mess that deal fever can create.
Friday, July 24, 2009
AP Fires First Salvo in Losing Battle
The Associated Press is taking the novel position that even minimal references to its articles require a licensing agreement with the news organization that produced the piece. By way of example, the AP noted that the use of a headline and a link would violate a news organization's copyright. This, of course, is what one sees regularly on Google News and other sites, including blogs. For example:
Gates Faults U.S. on Data Privacy and Immigration
From a business perspective, it's strange to see anyone take a position that discourages linking. Linking is the lifeblood of the web, and it's how people find your content, both directly and via the "authoritative" benefit a site gets from most links. And from a legal perspective, there's no question whatsoever that any content owner who tries to enforce copyright to prevent standard linking will lose.
What of the headlines themselves? Sure, a headline is "expression" for copyright purposes, but it's hard to see how a news source can escape a fair use argument, given that a headline is a small portion of the overall piece of journalism and doesn't create an economic substitute for someone referring to the original piece. In fact, the opposite is true. Headlines are written to attract reader interest in the article; linked headlines drive traffic from a search engine, blog, etc. back to the original source to read the full piece.
It should also be noted that news outlets have, since time immemorial, referred to each other. News organizations on the one hand create content, and on the other hand avidly rely on content created by others. How often when reading media do you see a reference like "The New York Times reported today that . . . " or "according a CNN report . . ."?
The AP, like a lot of other traditional media outlets, is flailing about as its legacy business model slowly loses air. However, it's easy to see how this particular battle will end – an overreaching lawsuit or two that leaves egg on AP's face without vindicating its position. It may also see Google show some news outlets what a world without links to their content would look like – I suspect they would quickly find that is far worse than the way things stand today.
Friday, March 06, 2009
Whole Foods - A Rare Post-Closing Consent Decree
So this is a first - Whole Foods, which bought the Wild Oats chain in 2007, has, over 18 months after closing the deal, entered into a consent decree with the FTC to sell the "Wild Oats" name and 32 locations. As I wrote at the time, I thought both the merger AND the FTC's objections to it were out to lunch. When the FTC lost a court battle to obtain a preliminary injunction blocking the merger, Whole Foods quickly closed the deal, despite the fact that the FTC appealed the PI denial. The FTC ended up winning that appeal, and now we have this settlement.
From the perspective of Whole Foods, this settlement is no big deal. There's little chance they ever planned to use the "Wild Oats" name, and the divestitures represent little more than 25% of the total locations acquired. On the other hand, this smells strongly of face-saving by the FTC. The "Wild Oats" name has little value, and of the 32 locations in the divestiture, over half (19) have already been shuttered by Whole Foods.
Monday, October 06, 2008
Corporate Dealmaking in the Ruins
Just as surely as the process has witnessed staggering amounts of equity destruction, it will certainly offer some fantastic opportunities coming out of the other side. The remaining healthy banks think so, as they attempt to fatten up cheaply on the remains of their less-risk-averse brethren. The tussle between Citi and Wells Fargo over Wachovia is only the latest chapter. We’ll see more activity, even if things get darker, as those with the resources to do so start laying the groundwork for better days in the future.
After the conference I did an interview on ABC News Now about the economy and the election – we polled 20 of Avvo’s top-rated bankruptcy lawyers to get their thought on this topic, and the results were certainly intriguing. Check out the video.
Wednesday, September 03, 2008
Overreaching Contracts
While these agreements come in many names and forms ("shrink-wrap" for packaged software, "click-wrap" for downloaded software or software-as-a-service, "End User License Agreement," "Terms of Service," "Terms of Use" or "Customer Service Agreement" for websites or telecom providers) they all have one thing in common - they are contracts of adhesion, meaning the end user is stuck with them if they want to use the service.
There's nothing wrong with this per se - some form of agreement needs to surround these services, and such terms obviously can't be negotiated individually with every user. However, as today's kerfuffle over the terms of service for Google's new Chrome web browser shows, a company's lawyers need to pay attention to what these terms say and whether they are fair in the context of a contract of adhesion.
Why? For starters, while most anything goes in a fully-negotiated agreement, courts will quickly find a contract of adhesion unconscionable if the terms are overreaching. After all, the consumer has no other choice but to vote with their feet (and sometimes they don't even have that choice). The Washington Supreme Court recently decided a case (see Groklaw for a terrific discussion) that offers a classic look at the far reaches of unconscionability - an AT&T customer service agreement that, in addition to requiring arbitration of disputes (usually OK, even in adhesive contracts), also barred class actions, required all proceedings to stay secret, shortened the statute of limitations to bring actions, and limited consumer rights to sue for attorney's fees, while giving AT&T the right to do so (this last point wouldn't fly even in a fully negotiated contract in many states, including CA and WA).
While the Google lawyers apparently were just a little sloppy in applying terms from other services to Chrome, AT&T's lawyers must have just felt compelled to make their terms as one-sided as possible.
The problem is that this kind of overreaching has its costs. If you're AT&T, the only terms above that really make much difference are the arbitration clause and the class action waiver. The rest of the stuff is noise. However, it's so blatantly one-sided that a court couldn't help but trash all of these clauses; indeed, AT&T is lucky the entire agreement wasn't stuffed.
What would have happened if they had kept the agreement scrupulously fair on the procedural side but had retained the important limitations (arbitration and class action waiver)? I say there's a fair chance the court would have upheld their agreement. Instead, their eagerness to craft a lopsided agreement cost them what they really cared about. Nitwits.
Monday, May 19, 2008
Microsoft and Yahoo - Saving Face All Around
Look, it would have made things difficult for Microsoft to simply come out and said, after two weeks of avowed denials, that they still want to buy Yahoo. And it would be similarly hard for Yahoo to say they realized they'd overplayed their hand and they're really amenable to a deal at $33 or $34 per share. So, they can both engage in this barely-plausible cover story, spend a little time "examining" the pros and cons on an asset sale + investment, before concluding that it really makes the most sense for MSFT to simply acquire YHOO outright.
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Clearwire, Sprint, etc.
You know the cable guys and Google insisted on Clearwire running the show for more reasons than just concern over potential conflicts between Wimax and Sprint's cellular service. One look at Sprint's operational track record over the last couple of years would have been all it took to make that decision.
Yahoo-Microsoft
Will it? Ballmer has taken some heat for how this was handled (one of his folks reportedly called MSFT's handling of last weekend's events "amateur hour" - ouch!), but if this was a tactical play by the mercurial Ballmer it may have been a good one. Yang and Decker have been falling over themselves to say they'd still be happy to deal, and have all but admitted Yahoo would take $33 a share.
So - there's still a decent shot this deal gets done. The price differential just isn't that great. Frankly, I wouldn't be surprised to see it get done for a buck or two less than MSFT's last offer of $33 when Yahoo comes back hat in hand to revive the deal.
Tuesday, February 05, 2008
Google Breathes a Sigh of Relief
The last bid on that package, at about $4.7B - which came in about a week ago - was enough to push it over the reserve price and ensure that the so-called "open access" requirements Google lobbied for will apply to whoever wins the licenses. However, bids on the individual licenses comprising the package have been increasing in the interim, and have now exceeded the package price.
These bids are, without a doubt, coming from the incumbant telecoms. Google, not wanting to get into the capital-intensive, low-margin, highly-competitive network operator business, can now sit back, secure in knowing that it has acheived its lobbying end via a shill bidding strategy. It's an open question whether the "open access" requirements are truly meaningful - they are in many ways the final battle of yesterday's war, and far more toothless than what Google originally wanted. Still, you've got to admire the execution on Google's strategy here.
Microsoft's Yahoo! Bear Hug
- I absolutely love the bold approach. The level of the bid really only gives Yahoo management two options: Sell to MSFT or find a white knight. Convincing shareholders that independence is the best route to unlocking value would be a laughable exercise.
- Watching the flailing about by the tech media and Yahoo insiders for potential alternatives to MSFT has been highly amusing. Points for creativity, but none of these fantastical imaginings will come to pass.
- Google needs to watch itself. While it has vastly expanded its lobbying resources in the last few years, Google doesn't always show a lot of maturity. As a near-monopolist in search and internet advertising markets, it needs to be careful about making overstated objections to this merger that will come back to haunt it when it goes to make a big acquisition down the road.
- Microsoft has a lot of work to do. Getting this deal past the regulators will be no mean feat, particularly in Europe. However, the bigger issue will come in dealing with merger integration on a scale Microsoft has zero experience with. We'll want to check back in a few years on how this one works out.
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Facebook and Microsoft
While this deal values the fast-growing social networking site at $15B, I doubt valuation was much of an issue for Microsoft. Yes, it's huge for Facebook to get a massive infusion of cash with only nominal dilution, but Microsoft has more nuanced concerns. Whether MSFT gets a decent return on the quarter-billion invested is of far less concern than getting linkage with Facebook and beating out Google. Besides an expansion of an extant advertising deals, the remaining scope of the MSFT-Facebook linkage hasn't been disclosed.
Bottom line? Huge win for Facebook, although it won't be raising more capital at this valuation any time soon. It's also a win for Microsoft, which now gets to participate in Facebook's strategic upside, if not the financial upside it would have also gotten had it pulled the trigger a year or so ago.
Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Ebay's Skype Writedown
Accountants, however, have no such luxury, and there is a certain discipline to tracking over time how good your deals really are. With that in mind, I note Ebay's $1.4B writedown of its Skype acquisition, accompanied by the departure of Niklas Zennstrom and the announcement that the earnout in the deal had only been one-third met. With the original purchase price of $2.6B and about $500M in earnout money, the charge represents nearly 50% of deal value.
Ebay may have some internal measures that indicate the deal was a success for strategic reasons, but by any objective outside view it was a bust. I hate to say I told you so, but . . .
